Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.228234 0.265406 0.306061 0.353735 0.408018 0.467805 0.538546
2025-10-26 0.165299 0.215598 0.276352 0.354704 0.452594 0.570336 0.722110
2025-11-02 0.129388 0.184061 0.255189 0.353561 0.484986 0.653268 0.883584
2025-11-09 0.104074 0.159359 0.235915 0.348116 0.506466 0.719729 1.025916
2025-11-16 0.085726 0.140179 0.219873 0.342754 0.524610 0.780362 1.162768
2025-11-23 0.070078 0.121888 0.201725 0.330734 0.530122 0.821725 1.273927
2025-11-30 0.064489 0.118169 0.204544 0.349659 0.582099 0.933091 1.493731
2025-12-07 0.054324 0.105121 0.190616 0.340138 0.588547 0.976030 1.613703
2025-12-14 0.045831 0.093499 0.177278 0.329525 0.591366 1.012465 1.725053
2025-12-21 0.039288 0.084306 0.166752 0.322092 0.598044 1.054609 1.847382
2025-12-28 0.035537 0.079808 0.163925 0.327586 0.626744 1.134171 2.035292
2026-01-04 0.033313 0.077982 0.165737 0.341488 0.671066 1.242615 2.278032
2026-01-11 0.030474 0.074539 0.164210 0.349318 0.705805 1.338360 2.508077
2026-01-18 0.027467 0.070265 0.160522 0.352619 0.732561 1.422322 2.724088
2026-01-25 0.024462 0.065465 0.155080 0.351687 0.750929 1.492193 2.919337
2026-02-01 0.021482 0.060189 0.147899 0.346285 0.759876 1.545109 3.087029
2026-02-08 0.018904 0.055423 0.141162 0.340950 0.768229 1.597113 3.255909
2026-02-15 0.016222 0.049881 0.131892 0.328988 0.761755 1.620057 3.371355
2026-02-22 0.015768 0.050179 0.136282 0.347823 0.821067 1.774418 3.746388
2026-03-01 0.013726 0.045721 0.128642 0.338347 0.819082 1.807417 3.888268
2026-03-08 0.011893 0.041486 0.120942 0.327785 0.813606 1.832690 4.016048
2026-03-15 0.010439 0.038084 0.114873 0.320387 0.814368 1.870499 4.170806
2026-03-22 0.009699 0.036748 0.114068 0.325855 0.844808 1.972014 4.460806